U.S. Decision to Start Turkiye-Greece War - A Dangerous Development

The U.S. has tried everything to control Turkiye including the July 15, 2016, failed coup, supporting the PKK in Iraq and YPG in Syria, supporting Southern Cyprus and training the Cypriot military, eliminating the military embargo to Cyprus, and stepping up military presence in the Eastern Mediterranean Sea along with France.

But Turkiye successfully stopped the July 15, 2016, coup despite the deaths of 300 Turkish citizens. Turkiye was successful in making the U.S. operations in Iraq and Syria useless despite the 15 billion dollars in weapons that the U.S. poured into the PKK/YPG and the YPD. Neither strategy succeeded in dividing Turkiye.

The Eastern Mediterranean natural gas consortium, which included the U.S., Southern Cyprus, Israel, Greece and Egypt, became useless. During one incident an Italian ship was exploring for oil in the Mediterranean with the protection of a French war ship. It barely escaped Turkish attacks. After that event, the U.S. and its allies in Eastern Mediterranean acknowledged that their plan was not viable, and the U.S. pulled out of the Eastern Mediterranean pipeline project to Europe.

The most recent attempt to control Turkiye is using the proxy nation of Greece. The U.S. is now trying to attack Turkiye from Greece through its nine military bases located inside the country. Here is the difference between Greeks and Turks. Greeks welcome other nations to help them i.e., inviting the U.S. into their country. They either don’t realize or don’t mind allowing other powers to intrude which makes them a proxy nation.

For example, take Ukraine fighting with Russia. In reality it is the U.S. fighting with Russia using the Ukrainian people. It is the Ukrainian people who are getting killed. Many Ukrainian people have become migrants, leaving Ukraine for Poland and other European nations.

But Geeks don’t seem to mind becoming a proxy nation. The nation was formed by three generals, Russian, English, and French in the 1800s. The Greeks never fought to gain their own independence. They have always been dependent on Europe. When the country became laden with heavy debt, the Germans pulled them out. Now the U.S. coming in and establishing nine military bases is welcomed.

In contrast, the Turks would not allow 80 thousand U.S. troops to pass through Turkiye for their invasion of Iraq. Because the Turks refused to allow foreign troops (U.S.) inside Turkiye, the U.S. has humiliated Turkiye on many fronts.

The latest development comes from the U.S. Congress which put forward a bill to occupy the Greek Islands in the Aegean Sea. The bill was accepted and passed by the Congress and is now waiting to be voted on in the Senate. If the bill passes in the Senate and is signed by Biden, the U.S. plan is to establish military bases in the Aegean islands.

But there is a problem with that plan. The Lozan and Paris International Agreement states that these Aegean islands can’t be weaponized. If the U.S. goes forward with this plan, they will be breaking international law.

That is where the danger comes from. Turkiye has already warned Greece not to weaponize the islands. But not just the Greeks building up weapons in the islands but allowing the U.S to build military bases on the islands.

It is clear that the U.S. is attempting to bring Turkiye and Greece to war. If this war scenario comes to fruition, Turkiye has many more advantages due to the closeness of the islands to its mainland. Also, Turkiye would be fighting a war between U.S. and Turkiye with Greece as the proxy country.

Would this start WWIII?

That is the probable scenario.

Who would be Türkiye’s allies? Russia, Islamic nations, Iran, (because the enemy of my enemy is my friend) China, and Central Asian nations. Japan and Korea would be on Türkiye’s side despite their heavy commitments to the U.S., Pakistan, Indonesia, and Malaysia. Finally, many African nations would take Türkiye’s side.

Who would be on the side of the U.S.? All English-speaking nations and France. The question would be concerning Eastern European nations. Which side would they take? That is an unknown. Except Hungry. Hungary would by on Türkiye’s side. Germany would want to on Türkiye’s side, but it couldn’t.

So, history repeats itself. This scenario is no different from 100 years ago. Turkiye vs Western nations.

Here is what would happen. If the U.S does build bases in the Aegean islands, the Lozan agreement is thrown out the window. That would give Turkiye the ability to have an outright war with Greece. Turkiye would attack the islands.

Here is another possible scenario. Thirty miles between the borders of Greece and Turkiye, there is no military establishment. This was part of the Lozan Agreement. However, the Dede Agac Military Base and port (where the U.S. is building up weapons) is about 40 miles from the Turkish border.

The worst scenario would be for the U.S. to purchase the Greek Islands in the Aegean Sea and establishes its military bases. Then war would become directly between Turkiye and the U.S.